Kedus Giorgis 0-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.9pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.0pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 43%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.90/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.99
-11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kedus Giorgis
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.10.2024 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-3 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
23.06.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 1-1 HT 1-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
0-1
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Nigd Bank squeezed past Kedus Giorgis 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ethiopia Nigd Bank as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 52% of the ball to Ethiopia Nigd Bank's 48%, shots finished 4-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kedus Giorgis had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kedus Giorgis and 1.50 for Ethiopia Nigd Bank.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Kedus Giorgis 0-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 28%, draw 31%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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