Bastia vs Stade Lavallois Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bastia v Stade Lavallois — Team-Based Signals
Bastia vs Stade Lavallois Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Stade Lavallois
FR2
2-1
HT 2-0
Bastia
FR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Stade Lavallois
FR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Bastia
FR3
Bastia 5-2 Stade Lavallois — Actual Match Statistics
Bastia ran out comfortable winners over Stade Lavallois 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bastia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Bastia had 57% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 43%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 3.19 to 0.75.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Lavallois led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bastia and 1.67 for Stade Lavallois.
What was the final score of Bastia vs Stade Lavallois?
Bastia 5-2 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bastia vs Stade Lavallois?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bastia 52%, draw 27%, Stade Lavallois 21%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bastia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.