Stade Lavallois vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stade Lavallois v Bastia — Team-Based Signals
Stade Lavallois vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Stade Lavallois
FR2
2-1
HT 2-0
Bastia
FR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Stade Lavallois
FR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Bastia
FR3
2-0
HT 1-0
Stade Lavallois
FR3
3-2
HT 2-0
Stade Lavallois
FR2
Stade Lavallois 1-2 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics
Bastia nicked a narrow win over Stade Lavallois 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Stade Lavallois at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Stade Lavallois had 66% of the ball to Bastia's 34%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.66 to 1.03 — on chances, Stade Lavallois could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.17 for Bastia.
What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Bastia?
Stade Lavallois 1-2 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Bastia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 42%, draw 29%, Bastia 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.