Valenciennes 0-2 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.43
6+ Goals
8%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 27% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
9.99
1/2
5%
23.6
1/X
9%
18.2
X/1
5%
12.2
X/2
21%
3.6
X/X
10%
5.6
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
28%
1.88
2/X
6%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
54%
Away Win
62%
-7.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 66%
+3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.9 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valenciennes
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
267 Passes 383
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 5
02.09.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-0 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
02.06.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-0 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
27.08.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 2-2 HT 1-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
01.02.2014 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 3-0 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR1
14.09.2013 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-3 HT 0-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
12.04.2013 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valenciennes
0-2
AWAY Saint-Etienne
0.45 xG 0.91
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
328 Passes 384
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valenciennes vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Etienne got the better of Valenciennes 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Saint-Etienne as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Valenciennes had 47% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 53%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.45 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Valenciennes and 1.67 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Valenciennes vs Saint-Etienne?

Valenciennes 0-2 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 2 on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 21%, draw 25%, Saint-Etienne 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Etienne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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