Concarneau 2-4 Angers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.46
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
21%
5.7
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
9%
14.55
X/1
10%
7.09
X/2
11%
4.34
X/X
10%
4.06
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.86
2/X
8%
14.0
Value flag · 1/1 at 5.7 — our 21% vs market 13.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Angers EU Bookmakers 49%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.21/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/0.91
-12% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -37%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.0 Crosses 22.8
0.8 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Angers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.71 xG 1.64
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 12
325 Passes 348
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Angers Angers 2-0 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
2-4
AWAY Angers
1.42 xG 3.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 2
325 Passes 420
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Angers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angers got the better of Concarneau 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Angers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Concarneau had 46% of the ball to Angers's 54%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.42 to 3.18.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Angers?

Concarneau 2-4 Angers in the France - Ligue 2 on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Angers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Angers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 35%, draw 27%, Angers 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Angers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Angers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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