Bordeaux 3-3 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 34% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.22
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
15%
5.02
X/2
10%
6.38
X/X
14%
4.36
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
17%
4.52
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.8pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bordeaux EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -8%
1.58/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.06
-6% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.3 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bordeaux
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Paris FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.72 xG 1.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
363 Passes 415
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 4
25.11.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Bordeaux Bordeaux FR2
18.02.2023 Bordeaux Bordeaux 2-1 HT 2-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
03.09.2022 Paris FC Paris FC 1-3 HT 0-2 Bordeaux Bordeaux FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bordeaux
3-3
AWAY Paris FC
1.29 xG 2.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
391 Passes 299
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bordeaux vs Paris FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bordeaux and Paris FC shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bordeaux had 56% of the ball to Paris FC's 44%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.29 to 2.23.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bordeaux had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bordeaux and 1.00 for Paris FC.

What was the final score of Bordeaux vs Paris FC?

Bordeaux 3-3 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bordeaux vs Paris FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bordeaux win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bordeaux 40%, draw 27%, Paris FC 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bordeaux) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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