Quevilly 1-2 Caen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.81
6+ Goals
10%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.36
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.8
X/2
13%
6.24
X/X
12%
3.74
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
12%
4.89
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quevilly EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Caen EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.17/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.29
-2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
17.8 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quevilly
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Caen
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.26 xG 1.38
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
264 Passes 404
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Caen Caen 3-3 HT 2-2 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
08.04.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 2-1 HT 2-0 Caen Caen FR2
01.10.2022 Caen Caen 0-1 HT 0-1 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
07.05.2022 Caen Caen 2-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
21.12.2021 Quevilly Quevilly 2-2 HT 0-1 Caen Caen FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Quevilly
1-2
AWAY Caen
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Quevilly vs Caen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caen edged past Quevilly 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Quevilly at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Quevilly had 54% of the ball to Caen's 46%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Quevilly had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Quevilly and 1.60 for Caen.

What was the final score of Quevilly vs Caen?

Quevilly 1-2 Caen in the France - Ligue 2 on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quevilly vs Caen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quevilly win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Quevilly 44%, draw 26%, Caen 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Quevilly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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