Stade Lavallois vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stade Lavallois v Bastia — Team-Based Signals
Stade Lavallois vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Stade Lavallois
FR2
2-1
HT 2-0
Bastia
FR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Stade Lavallois
FR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Bastia
FR3
2-0
HT 1-0
Stade Lavallois
FR3
Stade Lavallois 2-2 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics
Stade Lavallois and Bastia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Bastia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Stade Lavallois had 47% of the ball to Bastia's 53%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.27 to 1.93.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.00 for Bastia.
What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Bastia?
Stade Lavallois 2-2 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Bastia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 31%, draw 28%, Bastia 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.