Amiens SC 1-1 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 8 Nov 2024

Amiens SC
1-1 HT 0-1
Martigues
📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Amiens SC vs Martigues Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.75
6+ Goals
7%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 33% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.83
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
18.65
X/1
23%
3.45
X/2
9%
13.25
X/X
13%
5.38
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
4%
11.5
2/X
6%
19.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.1pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.6pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Amiens SC v Martigues — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 17%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +45%
0.82/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.34
-40% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +122% / +55%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
19.9 Crosses 11.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Amiens SC vs Martigues Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Martigues
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
23.02.2002 Martigues Martigues 1-1 HT 1-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
13.10.2001 Amiens SC Amiens SC 4-0 HT 1-0 Martigues Martigues FR2

Amiens SC 1-1 Martigues — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amiens SC
1-1
AWAY Martigues
2.10 xG 1.60
66% Ball Possession 34%
23 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 0
468 Passes 201
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
41 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amiens SC and Martigues couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Amiens SC at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Amiens SC had 66% of the ball to Martigues's 34%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 2.10 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Amiens SC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Amiens SC and 0.50 for Martigues.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Martigues?

Amiens SC 1-1 Martigues in the France - Ligue 2 on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amiens SC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 55%, draw 29%, Martigues 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Amiens SC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amiens SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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