Red Star FC 93 0-3 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 28% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.36
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
16%
4.98
X/2
7%
5.91
X/X
12%
4.43
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
17%
4.27
2/X
9%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 36%
-13% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
0.81/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.33
-22% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
22.2 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Red Star FC 93
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Troyes
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.78 xG 2.68
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 Passes 446
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2019 Troyes Troyes 2-0 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
30.11.2018 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 0-3 HT 0-2 Troyes Troyes FR2
14.04.2017 Troyes Troyes 3-2 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
18.11.2016 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 1-2 HT 0-1 Troyes Troyes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Red Star FC 93
0-3
AWAY Troyes
0.62 xG 0.64
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
426 Passes 246
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Red Star FC 93 vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Troyes cruised past Red Star FC 93 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Red Star FC 93 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Red Star FC 93 had 61% of the ball to Troyes's 39%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.62 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Troyes led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Red Star FC 93 and 2.50 for Troyes.

What was the final score of Red Star FC 93 vs Troyes?

Red Star FC 93 0-3 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Red Star FC 93 vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Red Star FC 93 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Red Star FC 93 41%, draw 27%, Troyes 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Red Star FC 93), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Red Star FC 93) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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