Rodez 5-1 Annecy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 8 Nov 2024

Rodez
5-1 HT 2-1
Annecy
📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.75
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
21%
4.63
X/2
8%
7.29
X/X
13%
4.72
2/1
5%
24.45
2/2
11%
5.21
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Annecy EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.42/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.30
+11% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
25.6 Crosses 14.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Annecy
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.54 xG 1.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 Passes 260
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Rodez Rodez 1-3 HT 0-1 Annecy Annecy FR2
19.12.2023 Annecy Annecy 1-2 HT 0-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
22.04.2023 Annecy Annecy 0-3 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
20.08.2022 Rodez Rodez 2-2 HT 1-2 Annecy Annecy FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Annecy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez swept aside Annecy 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rodez as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rodez had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rodez and 1.50 for Annecy.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Annecy?

Rodez 5-1 Annecy in the France - Ligue 2 on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Annecy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rodez 43%, draw 29%, Annecy 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rodez), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rodez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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