Manchester City U21 4-0 Newcastle United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.4pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.0pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 21%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/2.60
+128% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
368 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.4 Crosses 10.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City U21
4-0
AWAY Newcastle United U21
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
476 Passes 377
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester City U21 vs Newcastle United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City U21 ran out comfortable winners over Newcastle United U21 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester City U21 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Manchester City U21 had 55% of the ball to Newcastle United U21's 45%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of Manchester City U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Manchester City U21 4-0 Newcastle United U21 in the INGPL2 on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Manchester City U21 56%, draw 22%, Newcastle United U21 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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