Wolverhampton U21 1-1 Manchester United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
63%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.43
No
51%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
2%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
45%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-2.0pp
16%
Draw
20%
-4.0pp
63%
Away Win
56%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
66%
-16.3pp
51%
BTTS No
34%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.72/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.18/1.40
+40% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -12%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
250 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.2 Crosses 16.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Manchester United U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.24 xG 0.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
315 Passes 322
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2022 Wolverhampton U21 Wolverhampton U21 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21 İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton U21
1-1
AWAY Manchester United U21
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
201 Passes 438
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton U21 vs Manchester United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton U21 and Manchester United U21 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Manchester United U21 at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wolverhampton U21 had 36% of the ball to Manchester United U21's 64%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Wolverhampton U21 1-1 Manchester United U21 in the INGPL2 on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton U21 21%, draw 16%, Manchester United U21 63%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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