Vancouver FC 1-4 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 14 Apr 2025

Vancouver FC
1-4 HT 0-3
Atletico Ottawa
📅14/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2025

Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 33% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
36%
Away Win
46%
-9.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vancouver FC v Atletico Ottawa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 49%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.12/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.34
-33% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
22.3 Crosses 19.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.52 xG 2.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
347 Passes 301
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
01.09.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
13.05.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
10.09.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
16.07.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
17.06.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL

Vancouver FC 1-4 Atletico Ottawa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
1-4
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.19 xG 3.88
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 6
282 Passes 474
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa ran out comfortable winners over Vancouver FC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Atletico Ottawa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vancouver FC had 38% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 62%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 1.19 to 3.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vancouver FC and 1.17 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa?

Vancouver FC 1-4 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 33%, draw 31%, Atletico Ottawa 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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