Santos Laguna 1-2 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 14 Apr 2025

Santos Laguna
1-2 HT 1-0
Queretaro
📅14/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Santos Laguna vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
2.03
Over
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.61
No Pick
58%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
30%
3.72
2-3
42%
1.8
4-5
19%
3.05
6+
9%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.72 — our 30% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.6pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos Laguna v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +1%
1.60/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.32
+3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.5 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Santos Laguna vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Queretaro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.92 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
357 Passes 276
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 3-2 HT 1-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
02.03.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
03.07.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-2 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
24.04.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-2 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
11.09.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 3-3 HT 2-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
17.04.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-1 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK

Santos Laguna 1-2 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
1-2
AWAY Queretaro
1.30 xG 0.59
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
438 Passes 197
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 11
36 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Queretaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queretaro nicked a narrow win over Santos Laguna 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Santos Laguna at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 65% of the ball to Queretaro's 35%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.30 to 0.59 — on chances, Santos Laguna could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queretaro led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santos Laguna and 1.83 for Queretaro.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Queretaro?

Santos Laguna 1-2 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Queretaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos Laguna win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 44%, draw 27%, Queretaro 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santos Laguna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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