Domzale 1-2 Radomlje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 26% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomlje EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.15/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.80
-14% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
349 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Radomlje
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2025 Radomlje Radomlje 1-0 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
20.10.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-4 HT 1-3 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
02.08.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 1-0 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
11.05.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-1 HT 1-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
13.03.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 2-0 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
02.12.2023 Domzale Domzale 3-0 HT 2-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
1-2
AWAY Radomlje
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Domzale vs Radomlje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomlje squeezed past Domzale 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Radomlje made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Domzale had 40% of the ball to Radomlje's 60%, shots finished 10-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radomlje led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Domzale and 1.50 for Radomlje.

What was the final score of Domzale vs Radomlje?

Domzale 1-2 Radomlje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs Radomlje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radomlje win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Domzale 35%, draw 25%, Radomlje 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radomlje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radomlje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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