Real Madrid III 1-0 Colonia Moscardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Apr 2026

📅14/04/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
56%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 23%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.35/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.94
-16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid III
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2025 Colonia Moscardo 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III İS4
09.02.2025 Colonia Moscardo 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III İS4
29.09.2024 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III 0-1 HT 0-1 Colonia Moscardo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid III
1-0
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Madrid III vs Colonia Moscardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid III edged past Colonia Moscardo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Madrid III as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Real Madrid III had 54% of the ball to Colonia Moscardo's 46%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Colonia Moscardo led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Madrid III and 1.33 for Colonia Moscardo.

What was the final score of Real Madrid III vs Colonia Moscardo?

Real Madrid III 1-0 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid III vs Colonia Moscardo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid III win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid III 59%, draw 24%, Colonia Moscardo 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid III), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid III) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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