Colonia Moscardo 1-2 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.06
No
46%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
13%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.1pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.24/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.96
+2% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colonia Moscardo
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Madrid III
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.02.2025 Colonia Moscardo 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III İS4
29.09.2024 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III 0-1 HT 0-1 Colonia Moscardo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colonia Moscardo
1-2
AWAY Real Madrid III
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Colonia Moscardo vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid III squeezed past Colonia Moscardo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid III found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Colonia Moscardo had 44% of the ball to Real Madrid III's 56%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Colonia Moscardo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Colonia Moscardo and 0.50 for Real Madrid III.

What was the final score of Colonia Moscardo vs Real Madrid III?

Colonia Moscardo 1-2 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colonia Moscardo vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colonia Moscardo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Colonia Moscardo 40%, draw 28%, Real Madrid III 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Colonia Moscardo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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