Colonia Moscardo 2-1 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.1pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.41/2.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.24
+17% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colonia Moscardo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Madrid III
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III 0-1 HT 0-1 Colonia Moscardo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colonia Moscardo
2-1
AWAY Real Madrid III
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Colonia Moscardo vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colonia Moscardo squeezed past Real Madrid III 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Colonia Moscardo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colonia Moscardo had 43% of the ball to Real Madrid III's 57%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Colonia Moscardo vs Real Madrid III?

Colonia Moscardo 2-1 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colonia Moscardo vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colonia Moscardo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Colonia Moscardo 41%, draw 28%, Real Madrid III 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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