Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 Ejea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ejea EU Bookmakers 31%
-35% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
0.70/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.57
-42% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ejea
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Ejea Ejea 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
09.05.2021 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 HT 0-1 Ejea Ejea İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
0-1
AWAY Ejea
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Ejea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ejea squeezed past Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 54% of the ball to Ejea's 46%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ejea led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Alaves II and 1.00 for Ejea.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Ejea?

Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 Ejea in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Ejea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 43%, draw 30%, Ejea 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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