Navalcarnero 2-0 Conquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+10.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Conquense EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.37/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.66
+7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +83%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Navalcarnero
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Conquense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.09.2024 Conquense Conquense 1-0 HT 1-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Navalcarnero
2-0
AWAY Conquense
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Navalcarnero vs Conquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero saw off Conquense 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Navalcarnero made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Navalcarnero had 52% of the ball to Conquense's 48%, shots finished 15-11.

What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs Conquense?

Navalcarnero 2-0 Conquense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs Conquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 39%, draw 26%, Conquense 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Navalcarnero), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Navalcarnero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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