Atlético Paso 3-2 Union Adarve — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.53
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.2pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.3pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 34%
+13% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.15/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.14
+3% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlético Paso
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Union Adarve
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Union Adarve Union Adarve 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
17.03.2024 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 2-1 HT 2-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
05.11.2023 Union Adarve Union Adarve 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
12.03.2023 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 4-2 HT 3-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
23.10.2022 Union Adarve Union Adarve 3-3 HT 1-2 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlético Paso
3-2
AWAY Union Adarve
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atlético Paso vs Union Adarve
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlético Paso edged past Union Adarve 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Atlético Paso found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atlético Paso had 49% of the ball to Union Adarve's 51%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Atlético Paso and 1.60 for Union Adarve.

What was the final score of Atlético Paso vs Union Adarve?

Atlético Paso 3-2 Union Adarve in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlético Paso vs Union Adarve?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlético Paso win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Atlético Paso 34%, draw 33%, Union Adarve 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlético Paso) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlético Paso) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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