Mostoles 3-2 Union Sur Yaiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostoles EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mostoles
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
29.09.2024 Union Sur Yaiza 3-0 HT 0-0 Mostoles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostoles
3-2
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mostoles vs Union Sur Yaiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostoles nicked a narrow win over Union Sur Yaiza 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Mostoles made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mostoles had 42% of the ball to Union Sur Yaiza's 58%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Mostoles vs Union Sur Yaiza?

Mostoles 3-2 Union Sur Yaiza in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostoles vs Union Sur Yaiza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Sur Yaiza win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mostoles 37%, draw 25%, Union Sur Yaiza 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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