CD Victoria 2-5 Atletico Choloma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 14 Apr 2026

📅14/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
20%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
44%
+9.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
20%
Away Win
31%
-11.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.1pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Choloma EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
1.28/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-8% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Atletico Choloma
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
22.02.2026 Atletico Choloma Atletico Choloma 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
03.12.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 4-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Choloma Atletico Choloma HON
19.09.2025 Atletico Choloma Atletico Choloma 2-1 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Atletico Choloma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Choloma ran out comfortable winners over CD Victoria 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was CD Victoria at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Choloma led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CD Victoria and 1.67 for Atletico Choloma.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Atletico Choloma?

CD Victoria 2-5 Atletico Choloma in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Atletico Choloma?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 53%, draw 27%, Atletico Choloma 20%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Victoria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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