Atletico Choloma 2-1 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+8.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Choloma EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Choloma
1W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
03.12.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 4-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Choloma Atletico Choloma HON
19.09.2025 Atletico Choloma Atletico Choloma 2-1 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH Atletico Choloma vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Choloma edged past CD Victoria 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Atletico Choloma found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Choloma and 2.50 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Atletico Choloma vs CD Victoria?

Atletico Choloma 2-1 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Choloma vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Choloma win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Choloma 37%, draw 26%, CD Victoria 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Choloma) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Choloma) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
22 Feb 2026
02:15 Olancho vs Marathon Analysis →