Olancho vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Olancho v Marathon — Team-Based Signals
Olancho vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Olancho and Marathon shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Marathon at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Olancho and 1.50 for Marathon.
What was the final score of Olancho vs Marathon?
Olancho 1-1 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Olancho vs Marathon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Olancho 33%, draw 26%, Marathon 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marathon), BTTS No went the other way.