Marathon 2-1 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -6%
1.75/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.58
+0% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Olancho
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
25.08.2025 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
13.04.2025 Olancho Olancho 0-1 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
14.02.2025 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
09.12.2024 Marathon Marathon 1-2 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
05.12.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-2 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
01.12.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-1 HT 2-0 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon squeezed past Olancho 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Marathon and 1.17 for Olancho.

What was the final score of Marathon vs Olancho?

Marathon 2-1 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Marathon 48%, draw 28%, Olancho 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
2 Nov 2025
02:15 Juticalpa vs Real Espana Analysis →
04:30 Motagua vs CD Victoria Analysis →