Juticalpa 4-3 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
49%
Away Win
43%
+5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.7pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.49/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.02
-56% / +134% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juticalpa
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Real Espana
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.08.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 0-2 HT 0-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
04.04.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 3-0 HT 1-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
27.02.2025 Juticalpa Juticalpa 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
10.11.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 0-1 HT 0-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
15.09.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Juticalpa vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juticalpa edged past Real Espana 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Real Espana at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Real Espana led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Juticalpa and 1.00 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of Juticalpa vs Real Espana?

Juticalpa 4-3 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juticalpa vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Juticalpa 26%, draw 25%, Real Espana 49%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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