Motagua 2-1 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.75
No
40%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
67%
-4.3pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.7pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+7.4pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
2.17/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.86
+10% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
4W-2D-0L
AWAY CD Victoria
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
23.08.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
04.05.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 1-0 Motagua Motagua HON
02.03.2025 Motagua Motagua 2-1 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
01.12.2024 Motagua Motagua 5-2 HT 3-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
23.09.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-3 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
31.03.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua squeezed past CD Victoria 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Motagua and 1.17 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Motagua vs CD Victoria?

Motagua 2-1 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Motagua 62%, draw 18%, CD Victoria 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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