CD Victoria 0-1 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
26%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +20%
0.88/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/0.95
-5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Motagua
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
04.05.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 1-0 Motagua Motagua HON
02.03.2025 Motagua Motagua 2-1 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
01.12.2024 Motagua Motagua 5-2 HT 3-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
23.09.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-3 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
31.03.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
01.02.2024 Motagua Motagua 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua edged past CD Victoria 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CD Victoria and 2.67 for Motagua.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Motagua?

CD Victoria 0-1 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 21%, draw 29%, Motagua 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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