Olancho vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Olancho v Marathon — Team-Based Signals
Olancho vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Marathon nicked a narrow win over Olancho 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Marathon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Olancho and 1.67 for Marathon.
What was the final score of Olancho vs Marathon?
Olancho 0-1 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Olancho vs Marathon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Olancho 32%, draw 30%, Marathon 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.