Real Espana 2-1 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.74
Over 2.5
57%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+10.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
54%
-10.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
46%
+10.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.9pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.76/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.73
-14% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.02.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 3-4 HT 1-3 Real Espana Real Espana HON
01.12.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 0-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
23.09.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
04.04.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
04.02.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
08.10.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-3 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana nicked a narrow win over Lobos UPNFM 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Espana as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Espana and 1.00 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Lobos UPNFM?

Real Espana 2-1 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 53%, draw 22%, Lobos UPNFM 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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