Marathon vs Olancho Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marathon v Olancho — Team-Based Signals
Marathon vs Olancho Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Olancho
HON
Olancho nicked a narrow win over Marathon 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Marathon at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Marathon and 1.50 for Olancho.
What was the final score of Marathon vs Olancho?
Marathon 1-2 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marathon vs Olancho?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Marathon 44%, draw 28%, Olancho 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.