Marathon 2-0 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
35%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+11.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
1.53/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.04
-4% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Olancho
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
09.12.2024 Marathon Marathon 1-2 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
05.12.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-2 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
01.12.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-1 HT 2-0 Marathon Marathon HON
23.09.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 2-0 Olancho Olancho HON
29.04.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-1 HT 2-1 Olancho Olancho HON
04.03.2024 Olancho Olancho 2-1 HT 2-0 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon saw off Olancho 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Marathon and 1.50 for Olancho.

What was the final score of Marathon vs Olancho?

Marathon 2-0 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marathon 42%, draw 23%, Olancho 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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