Hammarby 3-2 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.74/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.49
+21% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
22.5 Crosses 15.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
4W-2D-0L
AWAY IK Sirius
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.55 xG 0.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
463 Passes 346
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-3 HT 0-2 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
26.05.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
30.10.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-2 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
09.07.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-2 HT 1-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
20.10.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
25.04.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-3 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
3-2
AWAY IK Sirius
1.99 xG 0.99
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
537 Passes 203
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
49 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby nicked a narrow win over IK Sirius 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Hammarby had 68% of the ball to IK Sirius's 32%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.99 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hammarby and 0.67 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs IK Sirius?

Hammarby 3-2 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 50%, draw 27%, IK Sirius 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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