IK Sirius 0-3 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 26 Oct 2024

IK Sirius
0-3 HT 0-2
Hammarby
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

IK Sirius vs Hammarby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.4
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.45
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
13%
6.69
X/2
9%
5.11
X/X
9%
4.97
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
20%
3.01
2/X
8%
12.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Sirius v Hammarby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 46%
-11% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -22%
1.40/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.27
+17% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
19.6 Crosses 22.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

IK Sirius vs Hammarby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hammarby
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.76 xG 1.51
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
391 Passes 410
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.05.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
30.10.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-2 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
09.07.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-2 HT 1-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
20.10.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
25.04.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-3 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
27.10.2021 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ

IK Sirius 0-3 Hammarby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
0-3
AWAY Hammarby
0.43 xG 1.58
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
337 Passes 533
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby ran out comfortable winners over IK Sirius 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Hammarby found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, IK Sirius had 41% of the ball to Hammarby's 59%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 0.43 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for IK Sirius and 2.00 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Hammarby?

IK Sirius 0-3 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 38%, draw 24%, Hammarby 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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