Mjallby 1-1 GAIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 26 Oct 2024

Mjallby
1-1 HT 0-0
GAIS
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 28% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.09
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.3
X/1
22%
3.86
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
12%
5.26
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
12%
7.95
2/X
8%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY GAIS EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.74/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.26
+13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.6 Crosses 19.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
4W-0D-2L
AWAY GAIS
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 1.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
392 Passes 285
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 4
21.04.2024 GAIS GAIS 2-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
11.08.2019 GAIS GAIS 1-2 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2
26.05.2019 Mjallby Mjallby 2-0 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
03.08.2015 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
31.05.2015 GAIS GAIS 4-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2
15.09.2012 Mjallby Mjallby 4-0 HT 2-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
1-1
AWAY GAIS
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby and GAIS shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mjallby at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mjallby had 56% of the ball to GAIS's 44%, shots finished 19-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mjallby and 1.17 for GAIS.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs GAIS?

Mjallby 1-1 GAIS in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs GAIS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 49%, draw 26%, GAIS 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mjallby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
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