Brommapojkarna 1-2 Kalmar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.89
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
15%
4.96
X/2
13%
6.88
X/X
12%
5.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
23.6
2/2
14%
4.58
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 13% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalmar EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.29/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.36
-13% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
23.3 Crosses 15.5
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brommapojkarna
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kalmar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 1.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
366 Passes 444
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2024 Kalmar Kalmar 0-1 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
27.08.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-3 HT 0-3 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
14.05.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 1-3 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
30.09.2018 Kalmar Kalmar 1-1 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
18.05.2018 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-1 HT 2-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
03.08.2014 Kalmar Kalmar 1-1 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brommapojkarna
1-2
AWAY Kalmar
1.60 xG 0.84
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
451 Passes 420
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Brommapojkarna vs Kalmar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar edged past Brommapojkarna 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Brommapojkarna at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Brommapojkarna had 51% of the ball to Kalmar's 49%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.60 to 0.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured Brommapojkarna.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brommapojkarna had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brommapojkarna and 1.17 for Kalmar.

What was the final score of Brommapojkarna vs Kalmar?

Brommapojkarna 1-2 Kalmar in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brommapojkarna vs Kalmar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brommapojkarna win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Brommapojkarna 43%, draw 24%, Kalmar 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brommapojkarna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brommapojkarna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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