Kalmar 0-1 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 14 Jul 2024

Kalmar
0-1 HT 0-0
Brommapojkarna
📅14/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Kalmar vs Brommapojkarna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.55
No
55%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
4.18
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.03
6+ Goals
9%
9.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 30% vs market 18.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.51
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
10%
5.69
X/2
12%
5.83
X/X
10%
5.08
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
21%
3.63
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-15.3pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kalmar v Brommapojkarna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.22/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.24
-11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.0 Crosses 27.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Kalmar vs Brommapojkarna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.09 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
431 Passes 373
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-3 HT 0-3 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
14.05.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 1-3 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
30.09.2018 Kalmar Kalmar 1-1 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
18.05.2018 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-1 HT 2-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
03.08.2014 Kalmar Kalmar 1-1 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
30.03.2014 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-2 HT 0-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ

Kalmar 0-1 Brommapojkarna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
0-1
AWAY Brommapojkarna
1.05 xG 0.74
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
497 Passes 338
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brommapojkarna squeezed past Kalmar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Brommapojkarna found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kalmar had 58% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 42%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.05 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kalmar and 1.67 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs Brommapojkarna?

Kalmar 0-1 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brommapojkarna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 36%, draw 24%, Brommapojkarna 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brommapojkarna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brommapojkarna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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