Hacken 3-5 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 14 Jul 2024

Hacken
3-5 HT 2-1
Elfsborg
📅14/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Hacken vs Elfsborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.58
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.64
6+ Goals
11%
6.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.46
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
11%
4.84
X/2
8%
8.09
X/X
9%
5.91
2/1
8%
20.75
2/2
12%
5.03
2/X
11%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.9pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hacken v Elfsborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hacken EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.76/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.51
+27% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
20.0 Crosses 20.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Hacken vs Elfsborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hacken
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Elfsborg
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.73 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
399 Passes 331
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Hacken Hacken 3-1 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
03.04.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 0-2 HT 0-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
31.07.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 4-4 HT 2-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
03.07.2022 Hacken Hacken 1-1 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
13.09.2021 Elfsborg Elfsborg 4-2 HT 1-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
25.07.2021 Hacken Hacken 1-1 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ

Hacken 3-5 Elfsborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hacken
3-5
AWAY Elfsborg
1.55 xG 2.10
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 12
475 Passes 245
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hacken vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg got the better of Hacken 5-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hacken at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hacken had 64% of the ball to Elfsborg's 36%, shots finished 15-23, expected goals 1.55 to 2.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hacken had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hacken and 1.83 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Hacken vs Elfsborg?

Hacken 3-5 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hacken vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hacken win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hacken 46%, draw 25%, Elfsborg 29%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hacken) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hacken) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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