Daejeon Citizen 2-3 Jeonbuk Motors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
4.79
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 36% vs market 33.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.23
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
15%
5.78
X/2
15%
5.51
X/X
8%
3.91
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
13%
3.93
2/X
11%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -19%
1.62/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.15
-50% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.5 Crosses 17.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
293 Passes 283
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2025 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-1 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
05.04.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-2 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
19.10.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 0-2 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
22.09.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
07.07.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-2 HT 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
01.03.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonbuk Motors squeezed past Daejeon Citizen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Jeonbuk Motors made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.00 for Jeonbuk Motors.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Daejeon Citizen 2-3 Jeonbuk Motors in the South Kore - K League Classic on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 38%, draw 26%, Jeonbuk Motors 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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