Gimpo Citizen 2-1 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.12
6+ Goals
12%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 43%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.24
+58% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 20.9
Yellow Cards 1.9
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen edged past Pohang Steelers 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pohang Steelers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Pohang Steelers?

Gimpo Citizen 2-1 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 34%, draw 25%, Pohang Steelers 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pohang Steelers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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