Suwon City 1-1 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
4.79
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.67
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
12%
6.17
X/2
12%
5.21
X/X
10%
3.91
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.6
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.37/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.18
+21% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.4 Crosses 15.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gwangju
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
374 Passes 440
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
27.07.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
25.06.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
27.04.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 1-2 HT 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
22.07.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
28.05.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 0-2 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City and Gwangju couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Suwon City and 0.83 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Gwangju?

Suwon City 1-1 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 38%, draw 27%, Gwangju 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Suwon City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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