Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.03
Over 2.5
40%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
3.14
6+ Goals
8%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 32% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.54
1/2
8%
22.9
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
11%
7.72
X/2
11%
4.77
X/X
13%
5.28
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.64
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
45%
+14.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
55%
-14.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.5pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 52%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.09/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.17
+18% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 83%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
16.1 Crosses 17.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.59 xG 1.58
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
488 Passes 242
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
29.05.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
02.09.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
10.06.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-3 HT 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
25.06.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 HT 3-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
27.02.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3-1 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
0-2
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.54 xG 1.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
433 Passes 453
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 31
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol beat Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 50% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 50%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.54 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.50 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 32%, draw 27%, Kashiwa Reysol 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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