Galatasaray 3-0 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.36
2-3 Goals
33%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.87
6+ Goals
14%
8.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.07
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
17%
4.36
X/2
9%
10.3
X/X
11%
6.12
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.65
2/2
10%
7.68
2/X
6%
15.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.65 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 23%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
2.03/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/1.18
+0% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / +55%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Trabzonspor
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.01 xG 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
314 Passes 240
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
16.12.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-3 HT 2-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
21.01.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-5 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
19.08.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-0 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
05.02.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
28.08.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
3-0
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.83 xG 2.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
258 Passes 296
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray ran out comfortable winners over Trabzonspor 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Galatasaray had 46% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 54%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.83 to 2.25 — on chances, Trabzonspor could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Galatasaray and 0.83 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Trabzonspor?

Galatasaray 3-0 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Cup on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 51%, draw 24%, Trabzonspor 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →