Trabzonspor 1-5 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 21 Jan 2024

Trabzonspor
1-5 HT 0-1
Galatasaray
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
3.3
6+ Goals
11%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 32% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.88
1/2
8%
22.6
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
9%
8.23
X/2
16%
4.36
X/X
15%
5.12
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
20%
2.41
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
+0.0pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.0pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trabzonspor v Galatasaray — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 55%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.31/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.12
+30% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
15.0 Crosses 21.9
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Galatasaray
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.65
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
312 Passes 320
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-0 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
05.02.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
28.08.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
23.01.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-2 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
12.09.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-2 HT 1-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
21.04.2021 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-1 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL

Trabzonspor 1-5 Galatasaray — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
1-5
AWAY Galatasaray
0.98 xG 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
11 Corners 6
216 Passes 242
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 27
35 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray swept aside Trabzonspor 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 49% of the ball to Galatasaray's 51%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 0.98 to 2.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.33 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray?

Trabzonspor 1-5 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 25%, draw 31%, Galatasaray 44%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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