Sivasspor 2-2 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.97
6+ Goals
9%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 33% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.79
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
13%
4.42
X/2
14%
7.16
X/X
15%
4.29
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
12%
5.49
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
1.44/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.56
-26% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
21.8 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.32 xG 1.11
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
265 Passes 398
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-3 HT 0-2 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
22.01.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
06.08.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
05.02.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 5-1 HT 3-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
18.09.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
03.05.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
2-2
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.98 xG 2.01
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
284 Passes 324
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 35
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor and Gaziantep FK couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sivasspor had 48% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 52%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.98 to 2.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sivasspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sivasspor and 1.50 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Sivasspor 2-2 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 38%, draw 31%, Gaziantep FK 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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