Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fenerbahçe v Samsunspor — Team-Based Signals
Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Fenerbahçe
TSL
3-0
HT 3-0
Samsunspor
TÜK
3-1
HT 1-1
Fenerbahçe
TSL
0-0
HT 0-0
Samsunspor
TSL
0-0
HT 0-0
Samsunspor
HAZ
0-5
HT 0-2
Fenerbahçe
TSL
Fenerbahçe 1-1 Samsunspor — Actual Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe and Samsunspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fenerbahçe at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fenerbahçe had 66% of the ball to Samsunspor's 34%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 2.54 to 0.34.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fenerbahçe and 0.50 for Samsunspor.
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
Fenerbahçe 1-1 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 62%, draw 21%, Samsunspor 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 went the other way.