Botev Vratsa 1-0 Montana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Montana EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.88/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.18
-27% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Montana
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2025 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-0 HT 0-0 Montana Montana BUL1
08.08.2025 Montana Montana 0-0 HT 0-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
1-0
AWAY Montana
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Montana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa nicked a narrow win over Montana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Botev Vratsa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 50% of the ball to Montana's 50%, shots finished 5-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Botev Vratsa and 0.00 for Montana.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Montana?

Botev Vratsa 1-0 Montana in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Montana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 48%, draw 28%, Montana 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Vratsa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botev Vratsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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