Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Septemvri Sofia v Spartak Varna — Team-Based Signals
Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Septemvri Sofia
BULB
1-0
HT 0-0
Septemvri Sofia
BUL1
Septemvri Sofia 1-0 Spartak Varna — Actual Match Statistics
Septemvri Sofia nicked a narrow win over Spartak Varna 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Septemvri Sofia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 40% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 60%, shots finished 12-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Varna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 1.33 for Spartak Varna.
What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Septemvri Sofia 1-0 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Septemvri Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 43%, draw 28%, Spartak Varna 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Septemvri Sofia), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.